How the market is pricing Donald Trump’s election promises
Donald Trump has made many promises to get elected the next United States president, starting on January 20, 2025. Yet, the market is fairly skeptical, although partially optimistic, about whether Trump will keep his promises – pricing these events accordingly. Some of these speculations are open and running on the leading prediction market, Polymarket , which became popular during the elections. For example, the market sees a 91% chance of Trump implementing the deportation executive action in the first 100 days. Meanwhile, the end of the Ukraine war before the inauguration day has only a 14% chance of occurring, price wagers. Picks for you Why XRP could hit $8 after reclaiming a 3-year high 4 hours ago Here’s why this crypto startup...